Analyst Says “I’m Sorry to Break This to My XRP Community”. Here’s why

XRP continues to lose ground against Bitcoin, according to crypto analyst ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA), who pointed to a multi-year downtrend that still controls the XRP/BTC chart.

His latest post focused on XRP’s relative weakness versus Bitcoin since 2017, even as Bitcoin extended higher over recent months.

“I’m just tired of the constant hopium,” ChartNerd wrote. He added that XRP has been underperforming against Bitcoin since 2017 and said the chart still shows “NO signs of any major rotation.”

I'm sorry to break this to my $XRP community. i'm just tired of the constant hopium: we have been underperforming #Bitcoin since 2017, with NO signs of any major rotation. In fact, over the last 3 months, BTC has climbed 60K-80K while $XRP/BTC has lost its 20 MEMA. Back to green.

— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) May 25, 2026

XRP/BTC Remains Below Multi-Year Resistance

The chart highlights a series of lower highs stretching back to XRP’s 2017 rally. ChartNerd marked several rejection points with red circles, suggesting repeated failures of the XRP/BTC pair to go further near the descending resistance line. The latest rejection sits close to the 20-month exponential moving average, labeled on the chart as the “20 MEMA.”

According to the analyst, XRP/BTC lost that level over the past three months while Bitcoin climbed from roughly $60,000 to $80,000. That divergence remains central to the current structure. Bitcoin has continued to attract stronger momentum, while XRP has failed to establish sustained relative strength against BTC.

The XRP/BTC pair currently trades near 0.00001756 BTC on the chart. Price action also sits beneath the long-term diagonal resistance that has capped every major rally attempt since 2017.

Historical Support Zone Comes Into Focus

Despite the long-term downtrend, the chart also identifies a green support area labeled “Historical Outperformance Zone.” XRP/BTC previously bounced from that region during earlier cycle lows.

The pair is currently above that zone, and the chart’s trajectory suggests that it could revisit that support region if selling pressure continues. That area sits around the 0.00000630 BTC range on the chart’s scale. Previous touches of the zone produced sharp reversals, including XRP’s large rally against Bitcoin during earlier market cycles.

For now, however, XRP still needs to break the sequence of lower highs before traders can confirm a structural shift in the XRP/BTC trend.

What to Expect from XRP/BTC

The resistance trendline remains the most important level on the chart. XRP/BTC has been rejected from that area multiple times across several years.

A breakout above it would likely mark the first major change in the pair’s long-term structure since 2017. Until then, traders may continue monitoring whether XRP can hold above the historical support region highlighted on the chart.