Ethereum’s Recovery to $3,000 Could Be Challenged by New Holders

Ethereum has struggled to recover from its recent dip, with the altcoin king attempting to regain momentum after slipping below key levels. While ETH has strong support from long-term holders, the recovery still requires fresh investment. 

That inflow of new capital, however, appears limited at the moment, creating uncertainty around Ethereum’s next move.

Ethereum Holders Have Mixed Feelings

The HODLer Net Position Change indicator is showing a steady incline, signaling improving confidence among long-term holders. This metric measures the movement of ETH within LTH wallets, and the current rise from the negative zone suggests that outflows are slowing. Historically, a shift like this often precedes renewed accumulation.

As long-term holders reduce selling, the market gains stability. Their conviction in Ethereum’s recovery strengthens the asset’s foundation even during volatile conditions.

If this trend continues, LTHs may soon transition from holding to accumulating, providing meaningful support for ETH’s next upward push.

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Ethereum HODLer Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode

Despite improving sentiment from long-term holders, broader macro momentum remains mixed. The number of new Ethereum addresses is moving sideways, indicating weak interest from potential new investors.

This stagnation is concerning because fresh demand is a critical component of sustained price recovery.

Without an increase in new market participants, inflows may not be strong enough to propel ETH toward the $3,000 mark. Even with solid support from existing holders, a lack of external capital could delay or weaken any meaningful rally. 

Ethereum New Addresses. Source: Glassnode

ETH Price Needs To Recover

Ethereum is trading at $2,814, sitting directly beneath a key resistance level. At this distance, ETH is just 6.6% away from reclaiming $3,000, a psychologically significant barrier for both traders and long-term investors.

For Ethereum to reach this threshold, support from new investors is essential. If new demand remains weak, ETH may consolidate below $3,000 as existing capital alone may not be sufficient to drive an extended rally. The altcoin king needs broader participation to sustain a breakout.

ETH Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If inflows improve and new investors re-engage, Ethereum could rally to $3,000 and attempt to flip the level into support. Successfully reclaiming this zone may pave the way for $3,131 or higher. This would invalidate the bearish outlook and restore bullish momentum.