Bitcoin (BTC) has signaled further midterm weakness. The flagship coin has been retesting a crucial psychological support level around $100,000 and has weakened it every time.
After Bitcoin price recorded its first red October in six years, it has been trapped in a mid-term falling trend. The flagship coin has dropped 20% since hitting its new all-time high (ATH) around $126k during the first week of October.
The BTC/USD pair has retested a crucial support level of around $100k and dropped to $99k twice this week. As such, the Bitcoin price is likely to drop further in the midterm fueled by the ongoing liquidity crunch.
Earlier this week, Wintermute noted that the crypto market has not experienced a new wave of cash inflow but a rotation of existing capital.
According to on-chain data from CryptoQuant, old whales, led by Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy, have been moving their Bitcoins in the recent past.
The notable surge in the re-awakening of old coins has coincided with the extreme fear of further crypto capitulation. At press time, CoinMarketCap’s Fear & Greed index hovered around 21/100, representing extreme fear.
Bitcoin price has fallen below its 50-weekly Simple Moving Average, and dipped below its two crucial support levels around $107k and $103.7k. Meanwhile, the BTC/USD pair is likely to drop towards its bull market support around $92k, which also coincides with an unfilled CME gap.
Source: X
Despite the mid-term bearish sentiment, BTC price is likely to regain a bullish outlook before the end of this year. Earlier this week, JPMorgan Strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou noted that the Bitcoin price is undervalued relative to gold and may rally to $170k to match its performance.
The macro bullish outlook for Bitcoin is bolstered by the upcoming Fed’s Quantitative Easing (QE) on December 1, 2025.
