About
SIGN
Ended--
Last price (USDT)
1.07M
24h total (USDT)
1.86M
Total vol (USDT)
2025-04-26 04:00:00 ~ 2025-04-28 10:30:00
Trading time (UTC+0)
2025-04-28 12:00:00 ~ 2025-04-28 16:00:00
Delivery time (UTC+0)
Total supply10.00B
Resources
Introduction
Sign is building a global distribution platform for good services and assets. Signatures, Sign's first product, allows users to sign legally binding agreements using their public key, creating an on-chain record of agreement to the terms of the contract. Sign's second product is TokenTable, which helps the Web3 project execute, track and enforce the project's use in distributing its tokens.
Monero (XMR) Price Beats Gravity While One Metric Falls To It — Is $880 Still On?
Monero has been on a powerful run. The XMR price is up nearly 56% over the past seven days, and even after cooling, it remains up about 2.7% in the last 24 hours. Price is sitting just 12% below its all-time high near $721. Zooming out, the move looks even stronger. Over the past three months, Monero has been up around 120%. The trend is clearly up, but the key question now is simple. Is there a pause coming before another all-time high push, or is gravity starting to matter again? XMR Price Defies Gravity, But Big Money Capital Pauses On the 12-hour chart, Moneros rally looks aggressive and clean. XMR has printed a long series of strong green candles, driving the price straight into all-time high territory. This is what price strength looks like when sellers struggle to slow momentum. But price is only one side of the story. The Chaikin Money Flow, or CMF, adds an important layer. CMF tracks whether large money is flowing into or out of an asset by combining price and volume. Rising CMF suggests big capital is actively buying. Flat or falling CMF suggests caution. Right now, CMF is not rising as aggressively as the price, if we take the early November to January 12 phase into account. It is hovering below the 0.38 level, which acts as a clear line in the sand. This does not mean large players are selling. It means they are not chasing. When CMF flatlines during a sharp rally, it often signals that big money is waiting for a better entry or clearer confirmation. XMR Price Move: TradingView Want more token insights like this? That creates a key tension: price is beating gravity, but large capital is observing rather than accelerating. As long as CMF holds near the horizontal trendline and does not turn sharply lower, the uptrend remains intact. But for the rally to extend cleanly, CMF likely needs to break above 0.38 and show renewed inflows. Sentiment Gives In to Gravity as Buying Pressure Cools While the XMR price keeps pushing higher, one internal metric has clearly cooled. Moneros positive sentiment score has dropped sharply, falling from around 102 to near 29, around 72% in roughly 24 hours. Positive sentiment measures how optimistic market participants are across social and behavioral data. A sharp drop shows excitement fading. History makes this worth watching. On November 9, positive sentiment made a local peak near 62. Moneros price peaked around $440 at the same time. Over the next two weeks, sentiment slid to roughly 15, and XMR followed with a drop to about $324. That move was a 26% decline. Sentiment Collapses: Santiment The current situation is different, but the warning is familiar. Todays sentiment drop is fast, but it has not formed a lower low yet. Risk increases only if sentiment falls below 14, and especially if it breaks under 11. For now, this looks more like cooling than collapse. Spot exchange data supports that view. On January 13, around $5.77 million worth of XMR moved off exchanges, a sign of strong buying pressure. By January 14, that number fell to roughly $751,000, an 87% drop. This suggests buyers stepped back as sentiment cooled. Selling pressure has not surged, but demand has clearly slowed. XMR Buying Slows Down: Coinglass In simple terms, optimism cooled, and buyers paused. $880 Wins or Gravity: XMR Price Levels Decide With price strong but internal signals mixed, key levels matter more than ever. The first level to watch is the $721 all-time high zone. A clean reclaim and hold above this area would signal that buyers are still in control. If CMF turns higher, sentiment stabilizes, and spot outflows increase again, the next technical target sits near $880. From current levels, that would be another 25% upside. In that scenario, even four-digit price talk stops sounding unrealistic. XMR Price Analysis: TradingView The risk scenario is equally clear. If CMF rolls over instead of breaking higher, sentiment slips below 14, and spot buying continues to fade, gravity starts to pull harder. In that case, $590 becomes the key line in the sand for the Monero price. Holding above $590 keeps the broader uptrend intact and could lead to consolidation. A break below it would raise the risk of a deeper correction, similar in scale to past pullbacks. For now, Monero is still winning. Price is strong, structure is intact, and sellers remain controlled. But gravity is no longer absent. Whether XMR reaches $880 next depends on one thing. Will capital and conviction return?
XRP Slides Toward $2 as Oversold Signals Hint at Relief Rally
XRP price has faced a sharp pullback in recent sessions, triggering a wave of panic selling across the market. The decline intensified bearish sentiment as investors rushed to limit losses. However, this aggressive sell-off has pushed XRP into oversold territory, a condition that often attracts dip buyers seeking short-term recovery opportunities. XRP Holders Sell To Prevent Losses On-chain profit-to-loss volume data shows that losses have dominated XRP trading activity over the past 20 days. Many investors initially sold during brief price upticks, hoping to exit positions closer to break-even. As the downtrend persisted, selling pressure increased to avoid deeper drawdowns. Over the past week, loss-driven selling accelerated further. A large portion of XRP transfers occurred below investors cost bases, reflecting fear rather than strategic repositioning. Historically, such conditions indicate capitulation phases, where weaker hands exit the market, which is the likely case with XRP right now. XRP Profit/Loss Transaction Volume. Source:Santiment The Money Flow Index, which tracks buying and selling pressure using price and volume, has slipped into oversold territory within the last 24 hours. This signals that selling intensity may be reaching exhaustion. Similar oversold readings in the past have created tactical entry points for buyers. When panic selling peaks, value-oriented participants often step in to accumulate. While this does not guarantee a trend reversal for XRP, it frequently supports short-term price bounces as supply pressure eases and demand stabilizes. XRP MFI. Source: TradingView XRP Price Can Recover Recent Losses XRP trades near $2.14 at the time of writing, showing early signs of short-term recovery. Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the recent swing high to the swing low provide important reference zones. The current structure suggests buyers are attempting to regain control following the oversold signal. The altcoin has already established support above the 23.6% Fibonacci level. Holding this zone strengthens the recovery outlook. A confirmed bullish shift would require XRP to flip the 61.8% Fibonacci level near $2.27 into support. Achieving that would open a path toward $2.41, helping recoup recent losses. XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView Downside risks remain if support weakens. Failure to hold the 23.6% Fibonacci level would expose XRP to renewed selling. In that scenario, the price could retreat to $2.03. Losing that level would likely push XRP below the $2.00 psychological support, extending the decline and invalidating the bullish thesis.
XRP: Investors' Patience Soon Rewarded?
After months of waiting, the price of XRP seems ready to come back to life. Between bullish technical signals and favorable new regulations, crypto investors hope that the next wave will finally offer the long-awaited reward. In Brief XRP is entering a consolidation phase, signaling a possible bullish breakout towards $8. New regulations and financial products reinforce the token’s legitimacy and institutional adoption. Crypto XRP: The Calm Before the Storm For a year, XRP has been trading under $3. However, in recent days, crypto analysts have observed a fractal pattern identical to that of 2017. The token had jumped from $0.002 to over $3. According to Cryptollica, the greatest enemy of XRP holders isn’t the price. It’s time. They believe the cycle of this crypto asset includes four phases: accumulation, surge, consolidation, and final breakout. Today, XRP would thus be in phase 3: a boredom zone that often precedes a massive move. The observed fractal shows a potential rise to $8, nearly +290% from the current level. The Catalysts That Could Propel XRP into the Crypto Stratosphere The foundations of the Ripple crypto project strongly support XRP’s bullish outlook. This includes the launch of the Ripple National Trust Bank, approved by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. This gives the token unprecedented banking legitimacy. In parallel, seven XRP ETFs already manage over 2 billion dollars in assets. These funds lock nearly 777 million tokens, thus reducing the available liquidity on the crypto market. Another growth driver is the stablecoin RLUSD, with a market cap exceeding 1.3 billion dollars. This regulated token fuels cross-border payments and increases activity on the XRP Ledger blockchain. Adding to that is the CLARITY Act and the GENIUS Act, which provide a clear legal framework for crypto companies. These laws reassure institutions, paving the way for new capital flows. As a result, crypto XRP gains credibility and attracts new investors. In any case, the price of XRP could cross $8 as early as 2026 if projections hold. For investors, the question is no longer “if” but “when.” Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.
Tom Lee’s January Bitcoin Prediction In Focus As $100,000 Nears — New ATH Soon?
Bitcoin is finally showing follow-through. Price has pushed above the $95,000 zone and is holding there at press time, up roughly 3.8% on the day and around 6.5% over the past 30 days. That strength is shifting the tone. As momentum builds and key resistance levels approach, Tom Lees January call for a fresh all-time high is starting to look less speculative and more technically grounded. But risks remain! Cup-and-Handle Breakout Aligns With Favorable On-Chain Supply Bitcoin has confirmed a breakout from a cup-and-handle pattern, clearing resistance near $94,800 with strong volume. That volume matters because it signals real demand defending the breakout, not just thin liquidity pushing the price higher. The measured move from this structure points toward $106,600, making it the first major upside target. Yet, BTC must first reclaim the psychological $100,000 level ($100,200 level per the chart) to make any higher predictions worth noting. Bitcoin Breakout: TradingView Crossing that level could put the Tom Lee Prediction for January-end back on track. Tom Lee predicts $BTC will hit a new ATH before the end of January 2026.What do you think? pic.twitter.com/cwXU3RtSfN Ted (@TedPillows) December 1, 2025 On-chain supply data strengthens the setup. The heaviest realized price clusters now sit below the current Bitcoin price, meaning most holders bought lower and are sitting on profits. This reduces immediate selling pressure. Major Clusters Below Market Price: Glassnode This combination of a confirmed bullish pattern and supportive on-chain supply suggests the move higher is not just a possibility. It reflects the underlying positioning. Whales Accumulate as Retail Joins, but Leverage Risk Remains Holder behavior continues to favor the upside. Wallets holding between 10,000 and 100,000 BTC have steadily added since January 2, increasing their combined holdings from roughly 2.18 million BTC to about 2.20 million BTC. That quiet accumulation signals conviction from large players. What has changed recently is retail behavior. The early January BTC rally possibly failed because retail sold aggressively into strength. 📊 Crypto markets typically follow the path of key whale shark stakeholders, and move the opposite direction of small retail wallets. In our chart below:🟥 Whales dumping, Retail accumulating (VERY BEARISH)🟧 Whales dumping, Retail unpredictable (BEARISH)🟨 Whales Retail pic.twitter.com/yoC0H1keBT Santiment (@santimentfeed) January 5, 2026 This time, retail wallets have turned net positive. Since January 5, retail holdings (0.01-0.1 BTC) have increased modestly, from approximately 273,080 BTC to 273,250 BTC. The size of the increase is small, but the direction matters. Retail is no longer distributing into rallies, removing a key headwind from earlier moves. Retail And Whales Buy: Santiment The main risk lies in derivatives positioning. Long exposure remains heavily skewed, with far more capital positioned on the long side (2.69 billion) than shorts (around 320 million). That 9x imbalance creates vulnerability if the BTC price slips back below the breakout zone of the cup. Binance Liquidation Map: Coinglass A move under $94,800 could trigger long liquidations, potentially pushing Bitcoin toward the low $90,000s. Still, the strong spot buying near support suggests buyers may step in before leverage-driven selling can fully unwind. Bitcoin Price Levels That Decide Whether a New High Is Next From here, Bitcoins structure is clear. Holding above the $94,500-$94,800 range (near the cup breakout level) keeps the breakout intact and protects the bullish setup. The psychological $100,200 level sits directly ahead (discussed earlier), but the more important technical objective remains $106,600, the cup-and-handle projection. Thats the first key target. If the BTC price can clear that level and absorb supply above $112,000 (the strongest near-term supply zone), the market enters a zone with limited historical resistance. One Major Cluster: Glassnode That is where acceleration beyond the previous all-time high near $126,200 becomes realistic rather than theoretical. Bitcoin Price Analysis: TradingView Bitcoin does not need a perfect environment to move higher. It only needs to hold its breakout and continue attracting spot demand. If that happens, Tom Lees January all-time high prediction stops looking bold and starts looking like a natural outcome of the current market structure. Above current levels, the most meaningful supply pocket appears above $112,000. Beyond that zone, realized supply thins out sharply. If momentum carries Bitcoin through $106,600 and later $112,000, the path toward prior highs becomes structurally cleaner. On the downside, losing $94,500 could weaken the structure, and a dip under $91,600 can bring in the bears again.
Cardano Whales Buy 100 Million ADA, but Price Still Struggles Below $0.40
The Cardano price is stuck in an uncomfortable place. It is down roughly 6% over the past seven days and has barely moved over the last 24 hours. That flat action reflects hesitation. Price has been hugging one key trend line for days without breaking lower or pushing higher. This same line has already decided Cardanos fate once before. The market now faces a familiar question: Is this support holding because buyers are stepping in, or because sellers are simply waiting? Trend Support Builds as Volume Weakens Under the Surface The most important level right now is Cardanos 20-day exponential moving average (EMA). An EMA gives more weight to recent prices and helps show whether short-term trend support is intact. This line matters because it already failed once. On December 11, Cardano lost the 20-day EMA and followed with a sharp drop of nearly 25%. That move turned a slow pullback into a fast sell-off. This time, the EMA is still holding. But volume tells a less comfortable story. That warning comes from On-Balance Volume (OBV). OBV tracks whether trading volume is flowing into up candles or out through down candles. When OBV falls while price moves sideways or higher, it often signals quiet selling rather than healthy demand. Cardano Price And EMA Line: TradingView Want more token insights like this?Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariyas Daily Crypto Newsletterhere. Between December 28 and January 5, Cardano price trended higher, but OBV trended lower. Sellers were distributing into strength. Since then, OBV has slipped below its recent trendline, suggesting volume support is still weakening, not improving. So why hasnt the ADA price broken down already? That question leads directly to what is happening on-chain. Dip Buying Is Real as Whales Add Around 100 Million Coins Despite weakening OBV, Cardano has not collapsed because large holders have been buying dips. On-chain data shows clear accumulation near the trend line. Here is what the numbers show: Wallets holding 1 to 10 million ADA increased their balances from roughly 5.49 billion to 5.51 billion ADA, adding about 20 million ADA starting January 11. Over the same period, wallets holding 10 to 100 million ADA increased holdings from roughly 13.44 billion to 13.52 billion ADA, adding about 80 million ADA. Combined, whales added close to 100 million ADA over this period. At current prices, that equals roughly 40 million in dip buying. ADA Whales In Action: Santiment Momentum data supports this behavior. The Money Flow Index (MFI), which combines price and volume to track buying pressure, has been trending higher. This shows money flowing into Cardano even as broader conviction remains mixed. This explains the standoff. Dip Buying Intensifies: TradingView Sellers lack follow-through, while buyers, including whales, continue to absorb dips. But accumulation alone does not guarantee a rally. For direction, the market still looks to derivatives and price structure. Derivatives Positioning Shows Why $0.40 Decides the Next Cardano Price Move Derivatives data adds an important layer of caution. Over the past 24 hours: Smart money positioning has stayed mostly unchanged, despite being net long. (minimal bounce hopes) No strong buildup of new long positions Top 100 addresses and regular whale traders remain net short, with no meaningful long buildup. Most Positions Are Net Short: Nansen This behavior means that traders expect a move, but they are not committing to upside yet. That brings the focus back to price levels. Since January 7, Cardano has traded in a tight range between $0.37 and $0.40. The reason $0.40 matters is simple. ADA lost this level on January 8 and has failed to reclaim it since. A clean move above $0.40, followed by acceptance toward $0.43, would signal trend recovery. That would also require OBV to stabilize and turn higher, confirming real demand. Cardano Price Analysis: TradingView The downside is clearer. A daily close below $0.37 would weaken the structure and open a move toward $0.35, with $0.31 back in play if selling accelerates.
Ethereum Loses Out On $116 Million, But Price Remains Steady Above $3,000
Ethereum price has struggled to gain traction despite multiple attempts to break out of a tightening triangle pattern. ETH remains range-bound after failing to convert recent momentum into a sustained breakout. Beyond broader macro pressures, institutional behavior has also emerged as a key hurdle. Retail holders now appear to be reassessing their stance. Ethereum Key Holders Opt To Pull Back Institutional investors withdrew $116 million from Ethereum during the week ending January 9. These outflows reflect growing skepticism among large capital allocators. ETH saw reduced institutional participation even as the price attempted to stabilize. Notably, the Ethereum price began rising during the same period. However, sustained institutional selling limited upside momentum. The outflows coincided with ETHs failure to escape the triangle pattern, highlighting the influence of institutional flows on price direction. Ethereum Institutional Outflow. Source: Coinshares Institutions often provide liquidity during breakout phases. Their absence reduces follow-through after technical breaks. For Ethereum to reclaim stronger trend dynamics, renewed institutional engagement may be required. ETH Selling Pressure Could Prove To Be Bearish On-chain data suggests Ethereum holders are also shifting behavior. The exchange net position change recently printed a green bar. This signals inflows into exchanges, a proxy for increased selling activity. This marks the first such instance in over six months. Prior to this, buying pressure had remained dominant. The reversal indicates weakening demand and rising caution among ETH holders. Ethereum Exchange Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode Selling pressure, even if moderate, can weigh on price during consolidation. Without renewed accumulation, Ethereum may struggle to defend critical support levels in the near term. What Is Next For ETH Price? Ethereum trades near $3,134 at the time of writing, hovering around the $3,131 level. ETH remains trapped within a triangle pattern formed in mid-November. The recent breakout attempt failed to gain confirmation. Current conditions present downside risk. Institutional withdrawals and rising exchange inflows could pull ETH toward $3,000. Losing that level would expose $2,902. A breakdown below this support would invalidate the pattern and signal further weakness. ETH Price Analysis. Source: TradingView A bullish alternative remains possible. If Ethereum flips $3,131 into firm support, price could advance toward the $3,287 resistance. A confirmed breakout would negate the bearish thesis. While the pattern projects a 29.5% upside toward $4,200, a more realistic target remains $3,441.
Monero (XMR) Nears $700, but Rising FOMO Raises Pullback Risk
Monero continues to dominate headlines as its price surge pushes the privacy-focused cryptocurrency into uncharted territory. XMR formed a new all-time high at $690 during an intraday rally, extending a historic streak. However, signs of overheating are emerging as momentum-driven gains accelerate faster than underlying fundamentals. Monero FOMO Is On The Rise Investor attention around Monero has intensified sharply. Santiment data shows social hype surrounding XMR has reached exceptionally elevated levels. Much of this enthusiasm appears driven by fear of missing out. However, historically elevated social engagement has often preceded local tops. When excitement outpaces sustainable demand, price reversals frequently follow. chain privacy. Monero Development And Social Activity. Source:Santiment Privacy remains Moneros defining feature and a differentiator amid increasing regulatory scrutiny across crypto markets. Speaking to BeInCrypto, Vikrant Sharma, Founder and CEO of Cake Wallet, highlighted how the recent price action suggests markets are beginning to value privacy itself as a scarce and strategic financial property. Monero is rallying because it offers something most crypto assets dont: default, non-optional financial privacy in a world moving rapidly toward surveillance. As governments expand AML, KYC, and on-chain monitoring, Moneros technology is being validated. Regulatory pressure and exchange delistings have reduced speculative access, but theyve intensified conviction among users who genuinely need censorship-resistant money, Sharma stated. Adding to caution, Moneros development activity has lagged behind price growth. Slower developer engagement raises concerns about long-term sustainability. When speculation accelerates faster than ecosystem progress, markets often correct to rebalance expectations. Signs of XMR Overheating Appear The Money Flow Index has moved decisively into overbought territory. This marks the first such reading since September 2025. MFI measures buying and selling pressure using both price and volume, highlighting when accumulation becomes saturated. In previous cycles, overbought MFI conditions have coincided with profit-taking phases. While Monero avoided a sharp decline four months ago, the current context differs. Prices are now at record highs, increasing incentives for holders to lock in gains. Monero MFI. Source:TradingView Profit-taking behavior tends to intensify near psychological milestones. As Monero trades at historic levels, even modest selling could amplify downside volatility. Sustaining further upside requires continued restraint from long-term holders. Will XMR Price Survive Or Face Reversal? Monero trades near $666 at the time of writing after setting a new all-time high at $690. The rally fell just short of the $700 psychological barrier. Crossing that level may prove increasingly challenging under current conditions. Technical and sentiment indicators suggest a pullback risk is rising. A reversal could halt the ATH streak, dragging XMR toward $600. A deeper correction could extend toward $560 if profit-taking accelerates across spot markets. Monero Price Analysis. Source:TradingView A bullish alternative remains possible. If buying pressure persists and holders delay selling, Monero could clear $700 decisively. Sustained momentum would open a path toward $750. Such a move would invalidate the bearish thesis and extend the breakout phase.
Another Onyxcoin Breakout In Play As Sell Pressure Drops 90%? Charts Show the Path
Onyxcoin price action has entered a tense standoff between bulls and bears. After rallying more than 70% over the past month, XCN corrected nearly 40% from its January highs, erasing most weekly gains and sliding about 7% in the past 24 hours. Yet despite the pullback, the broader structure has not broken. What makes this moment interesting is what is happening beneath the surface. Selling pressure has collapsed, whales are re-accumulating, and price is still holding key trend levels. The question now is simple: does this setup lead to another breakout, or does hesitation turn into a deeper reset? Falling Wedge Holds, but Bullish Momentum Is Being Tested On the 12-hour chart, Onyxcoin continues to trade inside a falling wedge pattern. A falling wedge forms when the price makes lower highs and lower lows within converging trend lines and is typically a bullish continuation structure. When confirmed, it often resolves with a sharp upside move, in this case pointing to a potential 38% breakout. However, momentum has weakened near the upper boundary of the wedge. Bullbear power, which measures whether buyers or sellers control short-term price swings, remains positive but has started to fade as the price repeatedly tests resistance. Since January 11, XCN has been rejected multiple times near the upper trend line, explaining why the rally stalled and weekly gains were erased. Bullish Onyxcoin Price Structure: TradingView Want more token insights like this?Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariyas Daily Crypto Newsletterhere. This keeps the pattern valid but slightly weak. Bulls still control the structure, but they need support from flows and positioning to force a breakout. Whales Re-Accumulate as Selling Pressure Collapses On-chain data shows why downside pressure has eased. Between January 11 and January 12, large wallets briefly reduced exposure, with whale holdings slipping from about 42.63 billion XCN to 42.49 billion. That distribution aligned closely with the trend-line rejection. Since then, behavior has flipped. Over the past 24 hours, whales increased holdings again to roughly 42.53 billion XCN, signaling re-accumulation near support rather than continued distribution. Whales Re-Accumulating XCN: Santiment Even more important is exchange flow data. Daily exchange inflows, which track how many tokens are sent to exchanges and often act as a proxy for selling pressure, have collapsed. Inflows fell from roughly 440 million XCN to just 33 million in two days. That is a drop of over 90%, showing that potential sell-side pressure has dried up sharply. Exchange Flow Dips: Santiment This decline happened even during the brief whale sell-off, suggesting retail selling never accelerated. With fewer tokens heading to exchanges, the market looks increasingly primed for an XCN price expansion rather than a grind lower. Onyxcoin Price Levels That Decide a 38% Breakout? The final decision now rests on price. Onyxcoin price is still trading above its key exponential moving averages (EMAs). An EMA gives more weight to recent prices and helps identify trend direction. On the 12-hour chart, XCN remains above the 20-EMA, while the 50-EMA is moving closer to the 200-EMA, setting up a potential golden crossover if the price holds. For bulls, the first trigger sits near $0.0093. A move above this level would signal a clean wedge breakout attempt. Strong confirmation comes above $0.0098, which would open the path toward the projected target near $0.0124, roughly 38% higher. Onyxcoin Price Analysis: TradingView Risk remains clearly defined. A loss of the 20-EMA followed by a break below $0.0077 would invalidate the bullish setup and expose deeper downside, potentially toward the $0.0041 area if market conditions weaken. For now, the setup is balanced. Selling pressure has collapsed, whales are back on the buy side, and structure remains bullish. Whether Onyxcoin price turns this into another breakout depends on one thing only: bulls must reclaim resistance before momentum fades again.
Crypto: Ukraine blocks access to Polymarket
Ukraine has just blocked access to Polymarket, a crypto predictive markets platform. The authorities consider that the service resembles unlicensed online gambling. This decision does not only target a site. It mainly reminds that as soon as there is a stake and a possible gain on an uncertain event, the line with gambling becomes very thin. And crypto does not offer automatic immunity. In brief Ukraine ordered the blocking of Polymarket, considering its activity similar to unlicensed online gambling The regulator mainly notes that users stake money on uncertain events hoping for a gain A clear blockade on Polymarket, with a licensing logic Ukraine has ordered internet service providers to block Polymarket while in Tennessee it was ordered to stop sports predictive markets on the said crypto platform. Ukraine considers the activity as unauthorized gambling. The decision is based on a resolution dated December 10, 2025, and targets sites that organize or facilitate betting without recognized licenses. Specifically, the domain polymarket.com has been added to a public registry of banned resources. This does not look like just a warning. However, it is an administrative gesture that translates into DNS filters and network restrictions at operators. In practice, the enforcement of the block is not perfectly uniform. Indeed, some internet users in Ukraine say they do not have access to the crypto predictive markets platform. On the other hand, others still have access, depending on the operator or the tool used. This is typical for this type of decision. Indeed, the order is centralized, but the execution is fragmented. Predictive market or disguised betting: the heart of the problem Polymarket presents itself as a market. One “buys” shares on an event, and the price reflects an implicit probability. The rhetoric is clever because it borrows the vocabulary of finance and price discovery. But the Ukrainian regulator notes that if the user stakes money on an uncertain outcome hoping for a gain, the mechanism resembles gambling. And, in many countries, this word triggers a chain of constraints including licensing, control, prevention, compliance. The context makes the decision even more sensitive. Polymarket hosted markets related to Ukraine, including about the war. Even without involving morality, one understands the political embarrassment: letting “bets” on burning national topics prosper without local framework seems like a too comfortable grey area. Ukraine is not alone in reacting. Other European countries have already treated Polymarket as an unauthorized gambling offer, with restrictive measures. And the logic repeats: crypto innovation does not override local gambling and betting law. We also see a convergence of concerns. Authorities do not only look at the “product.” They look at the ecosystem: user protection, advertising, addiction prevention, and anti-money laundering measures. Even when the platform is “decentralized” in its discourse, entry points remain very real. Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.
CFTC Forms Innovation Advisory Committee to Guide Financial and Crypto Technologies
At a point when financial oversight is adjusting to technological change, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is taking steps to ensure its regulations remain effective. Mike Selig, the CFTC Chair, has announced the creation of an innovation committee to advise the agency on emerging technologies that are transforming financial services. The initiative is intended to help the Commission develop regulatory approaches that are practical, clear, and aligned with current market conditions. In brief Mike Selig announced the creation of the Innovation Advisory Committee to guide the CFTC on new financial technologies. The committee brings together experts from industry, academia, technology, and regulatory bodies to provide a wide range of perspectives. The committee will help shape clear and practical regulations that align with current market conditions and support fair, transparent markets. CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee Role The Innovation Advisory Committee (IAC), rebranded from the former Technology Advisory Committee, brings together experts from industry, regulatory bodies, academia, and technology, offering a wide range of perspectives to guide the Commission. Selig explained the committee’s role in shaping market regulations. He stated in the release that “the Commission will develop fit-for-purpose market structure regulations for this new frontier of finance.” He also noted : The Innovation Advisory Committee will play a critical role in advising the Commission on the commercial, economic, and practical considerations of emerging products, platforms, and business models in the financial markets so that it can develop clear rules of the road for the Golden Age of American Financial Markets. The IAC’s charter outlines its role and responsibilities, showing how the committee will support the Commission in adapting to emerging technologies such as crypto and artificial intelligence: The committee will provide guidance on the impact of technological developments across financial services, derivatives, and commodity markets, helping the CFTC align its rules with current market conditions. Members will share insights on how market participants can adopt and integrate new technologies while informing the Commission on the tools and investments it needs for effective monitoring and oversight. The committee will advise the CFTC on technology-related matters to ensure the agency can uphold fair, transparent, and well-functioning markets while meeting broader public objectives. Leadership, Public Input, and Crypto Impact The CFTC Chair will sponsor the IAC and plans to appoint 12 initial members from the CEO Innovation Council. This group brings together leaders from both cryptocurrency and traditional finance. From the crypto industry, the committee includes Tyler Winklevoss of Gemini, Shayne Coplan of Polymarket, Tarek Mansour of Kalshi, and Kris Marszalek of Crypto.com, all serving as CEOs, along with Arjun Sethi, co-CEO of Kraken. Established financial executives are also involved, including Jeff Sprecher of Intercontinental Exchange, Craig Donohue of Cboe Global Markets, and Adena Friedman of Nasdaq, providing a balanced perspective across sectors. The CFTC is also encouraging members of the public to get involved by putting forward nominations for the committee and proposing topics they think should be prioritized, with submissions open until January 31, 2026. Looking at the broader picture, venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) emphasized the importance of cryptocurrency innovation for the United States’ future. The firm pointed out that falling behind in technological development could have significant consequences for the country’s economic strength and global standing, with effects reaching around the world. Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.
Zcash Price Rebounds 16% — Can Whale Buying Finally Beat the $300 Risk?
Zcash has staged a short-term rebound, but the bigger picture remains sketchy. After hitting a local low on January 10, the Zcash price bounced roughly 16%. That bounce came even as the token remains down over 20% on the week and slipped again in the past 24 hours. Under the surface, on-chain data shows aggressive whale accumulation. At the same time, trend signals, exchange flows, and smart-money behavior still indicate risk. This sets up a clear conflict: is this rebound the start of a recovery, or just a pause before another leg lower? Bullish Divergence and Whale Accumulation Explain the Rebound The rebound did not come out of nowhere. Between December 6 and January 10, Zcash printed a hidden bullish RSI divergence. The Zcash price formed a higher low, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator that measures buying and selling strength, formed a lower low. This pattern often signals that selling pressure is weakening before the price reacts. RSI Hints At Rebound: TradingView Whale behavior aligned with that signal. Over the past seven days, Zcashs largest holders stepped in aggressively. Mega whale wallets increased their holdings by 39.07%, taking their combined balance to 45,103 ZEC. Smaller whale wallets also added, rising 17.63% to 10,405 ZEC. Total whale buying, therefore, stands at $5.7 million over the past 7 days. Whales Add Zcash: Nansen Public-figure wallets climbed nearly 20% in the same period. This steady accumulation explains why the RSI divergence pushed the price to the upside and why Zcash managed to bounce from its January low on January 10. EMA Risk Grows as Spot Outflows Fade However, the rebound is running into structural resistance. Zcashs price is now trading below key exponential moving averages (EMAs). An EMA gives more weight to recent prices and helps identify trend direction. The 20-day EMA is drifting toward a bearish crossover below the 50-day EMA, a setup that often caps rebounds and restarts downtrends. These EMA levels are also acting as overhead resistance. Structural Risk Looms: TradingView Spot exchange flows reinforce this risk. While Zcash still shows net exchange outflows, meaning coins are leaving exchanges rather than entering to sell, the intensity has dropped sharply. On January 7, net outflows peaked near $35.6 million. They have since fallen to about $10.7 million, a decline of roughly $25 million, or nearly 70%. This suggests that while whales continue to accumulate, some possible retail selling or hesitation might be creeping back in as sentiment remains fragile. Buying Slows: Coinglass That said, this setup is not new. In late December, a similar EMA crossover risk emerged. At the time, sustained whale buying caused the 20-day EMA to move away from the 50-day EMA instead of crossing below it. That divergence led to a 38.36% Zcash rally. The market is now watching whether current whale accumulation can again overpower fading retail demand and prevent the bearish crossover from completing. Smart Money Still Warns, With The $300 Zcash Price Risk In Play The final signal comes from the Smart Money Index (SMI). This indicator tracks how informed traders position themselves relative to retail behavior. When it stays below its signal line, it often signals caution and downside risk. Zcashs Smart Money Index remains well below that line. The last time it dropped this sharply, between late November and early December, the ZEC price fell over 50%. The SMI line seems to have flattened for now, as there is one nuance worth noting. On the derivatives side, smart money positioning has started increasing net longs over the past 24 hours. This suggests some traders (on the derivatives side) are betting on a rebound. But that bet remains conditional. Smart Zcash Traders Adding Longs: Nansen For a recovery, Zcash must reclaim $408 and then push above $459 and $483. Until that happens, the EMA structure and weak outflows keep downside risk alive. A clean break below $361 would reopen the path toward $300. Zcash Price Analysis: TradingView Zcashs rebound is real, and whale buying explains it. But structure still rules. Until trend signals flip, whale accumulation and improving smart money positioning alone may not be enough to kill the $300 risk.
Middle managers have the jobs AI still can't do
A version of this article originally appeared in Quartz’s Leadership newsletter. Sign up here to get the latest leadership news and insights straight to your inbox. U.S. job postings for middle management roles were about 42% lower in late 2025 than they were in April 2022, when middle manager job postings peaked, according to Revelio Labs data. Instead of eliminating the middle man, is Corporate America eliminating the middle manager? No. Middle management isn’t disappearing. But it does seem like it’s being reinvented. Companies are flattening their org charts in many cases to cut costs and accelerate decision-making. Take a little economic pressure from here, some AI automation for administrative tasks from over there, add a pinch of salt, and bam — fewer management openings. Yet while the number of jobs may be shrinking, the need for the primary functions of middle managers is as strong as ever. They’re the conduit, in both directions, between upper management and the teams doing the day-to-day work of the business. “The primary role of a ‘middle manager’ has often been viewed as translating expectations, perspectives, and priorities between senior leadership and those closest to the work,” said Jenn Christison, a principal consultant at Seven Ways Consulting. “For example, senior leadership sets an edict. It is the middle manager’s job to understand the implications for their teams and translate high-level direction into actionable next steps. And when their teams push back or offer suggestions, it is the middle manager who must find a way to translate their practical considerations into ‘strategic imperatives’ that will resonate with the C-suite.” Less attention is given to the equally important task of ensuring effective collaboration across functional silos, Christison said. “Middle managers are in the unique position of hearing perspectives from all angles of their organization: the top, bottom, and sides. Their bosses give them direction, their direct reports give them the lay of the land, and their peers give them insights into the gaps between,” she said. “As organizations grow ever flatter — unfortunately most often due to urgent cost cutting rather than thoughtful design — middle managers can emphasize their unique value by creating deliberate communication forums with their peers, sharing concerns, insights, and ideally, process improvements. In building effective collaboration across functional silos, middle managers will reduce significant friction and demonstrate commitment to the organization’s objectives.” All that is to say, the middle-management era is far from over. “You still need middle managers. The idea that you can remove them all and it’ll be fine is nonsense,” said Ben Hardy, a professor of organizational behavior at London Business School. “You need people to coordinate between parts of the organization, and employees like to report to a person. AI has, in some cases, been a disappointment. The promise is good, as it was with offshoring call centers, but things that look like simple tasks often aren’t.” ‘Communicate, communicate, communicate’ What does reducing friction look like? “The first skill a manager needs to develop is the ability to recognize where friction exists and why it may be happening in the organization,” said Jermaine Moore, a leadership consultant with the Mars Hill Group. “Is it an overall lack of clarity on strategy and direction? Is there confusion around team roles and responsibilities? Are their people feeling overwhelmed as they are asked to do more with less? Are there interpersonal ‘rubs’ within the team that have not been addressed?” Most of the friction within organizations is due to a lack of communication, Moore said. “There is an adage: Communicate, communicate, communicate, and when you think you have communicated enough, communicate some more,” he said. “People rarely complain that they are receiving too much communication.” Additionally, the most successful middle managers don’t wait for problems to escalate, said Sondra Leibner, managing director of consulting at alliantConsulting. “[Successful middle managers] develop early warning systems through regular check-ins and pattern recognition that catches issues before they become issues,” Leibner said. “Creating communication rhythms that employees listen to and/or read to prevent the information gaps that cause most organizational friction. They become adept at establishing clear decision rights and escalation paths, knowing exactly which decisions they can make independently versus which require consultation, and they advocate upward to eliminate bureaucratic bottlenecks.” Furthermore, indispensable middle managers position themselves as guardians of institutional knowledge. They understand how work is supposed to get done, and how it actually gets done, Leibner said. They: Proactively build their team’s adaptability muscles through skill development and careful explanation and question answering when changes are announced. Master upward influence by presenting problems with solutions, data, and context, becoming leaders who bring clarity to complexity rather than adding to it. Serve as cultural carriers who maintain team cohesion and values during uncertain times. Raise the bar for teams by giving feedback rooted in growth and development for each individual team member, creating a culture of collaboration and accountability. “At their best, middle managers are the critical connective tissue between strategy and results, and that role has never mattered more,” said Sabra Sciolaro, the chief people officer at Firstup, a workplace communications platform. “They sit where strategy either becomes real or quietly stalls, turning high-level direction into concrete priorities, decisions, and outcomes teams can actually execute against. They reduce friction by clarifying next steps, simplifying processes, and protecting focus so teams aren’t constantly pulled in competing directions.” Middle management isn’t disappearing, Sciolaro said, it’s being redefined. “That’s why these roles are shrinking in number but growing in impact,” she said. “And the managers who adapt won’t just keep their jobs. They’ll become some of the most critical leaders in the company.”
Instagram Data Leak Claims Spark Confusion as Meta Denies Breach
Reports of a potential large-scale Instagram data leak have sparked widespread concern, as cybersecurity researchers and Meta offer sharply different accounts of what occurred. While a security firm claims millions of user records are being sold online, Meta insists its systems were not breached. The conflicting narratives have left many users uncertain about the safety of their accounts. In brief Cybersecurity firm Malwarebytes says data tied to 17.5 million Instagram users appeared for sale online, possibly linked to a 2024 API issue. Users reported a wave of unrequested password reset emails, raising fears of account targeting and wider misuse of personal data. Meta denied a breach, saying a technical flaw triggered reset emails and confirmed that systems were not compromised. Security experts warn leaked data can still fuel phishing, scams, and identity fraud even without direct account access. Instagram Users Report Reset Email Flood After Data Appears on Dark Web Cybersecurity company Malwarebytes reported that data linked to approximately 17.5 million Instagram users has appeared for sale on underground websites. The firm said the exposed information includes usernames, email addresses, phone numbers, home addresses, and other personal details. According to Malwarebytes, the data was identified during routine dark web monitoring and may be connected to an API exposure that occurred in 2024. Discover our newsletter This link uses an affiliate program. Shortly after the report surfaced, many Instagram users said they began receiving repeated password-reset emails they had not requested. The sudden influx of messages raised fears that accounts were being targeted. Social media platforms quickly filled with posts from users expressing concern about possible unauthorized access and misuse of their personal information. Meta, the parent company of Instagram, rejected claims of a data breach. The company said a technical issue temporarily allowed an external party to trigger password reset emails for some users. Meta stated that the issue has since been resolved and emphasized that its systems were not compromised. In a public statement, the company reassured users that their accounts remain secure and advised them to ignore the emails. Leaked Contact Details May Enable Scams and Account Hijacking, Experts Say Despite Meta’s assurances, security researchers caution that exposed personal data can still present serious risks. Even without direct access to Instagram accounts, cybercriminals can exploit leaked information for a range of malicious activities. Such data is frequently used in phishing campaigns, identity theft, and account takeovers across multiple online services. Potential misuse of the exposed information includes: Sending convincing phishing emails or text messages using real usernames and contact details. Attempting password recovery on other services linked to the same email address or phone number. Impersonating affected users to scam followers. Harassing individuals using leaked physical addresses. Compiling detailed profiles for identity fraud or financial scams. Experts note that repeated password reset emails can serve as an early warning sign of malicious activity. Attackers often test known contact information to determine which accounts are active or vulnerable. Even in the absence of a confirmed breach, the availability of personal data increases the likelihood of successful attacks elsewhere. User Security Takes Center Stage After Fresh Attention on Instagram Data Users are encouraged to take precautionary steps to reduce risk. Enabling two-factor authentication adds an extra layer of protection by requiring a secondary verification code during login. Security professionals also recommend changing passwords—particularly old or reused ones—and creating strong, unique credentials for each platform. Extra caution is advised when responding to unexpected messages. Emails, text messages, or direct messages that request personal information or urge immediate action should be treated with skepticism. Clicking unfamiliar links or sharing verification codes can give attackers direct access to accounts. This is not the first time Meta has faced scrutiny over Instagram data. In November 2024, reports emerged claiming that nearly 489 million Instagram user records had appeared on a dark web platform. Although Meta disputed those claims as well, repeated incidents continue to raise questions about how user data is managed and protected online. Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.
Bitcoin Eyes $95,000 Again as Market Stress Continues to Ease
Bitcoin price has regained momentum after a failed attempt to reach $95,000 earlier this cycle. BTC is making another push as investor behavior shifts and market conditions improve. Unlike prior rallies, selling pressure appears lighter, increasing confidence that this move has stronger structural support. Bitcoin Holders Are Changing Their Stance Investor sentiment has shown measurable improvement. Net Unrealized Profit and Loss has climbed from 10.2% to 7.8%. This change signals shrinking unrealized losses across the network and easing stress among holders. NUPL remains within its historical statistical range, suggesting stabilization rather than exuberance. Such conditions often precede trend continuation rather than sharp reversals. Holders appear more willing to wait for further upside instead of exiting at small rebounds. Reduced unrealized losses also limit forced selling. When fewer participants are underwater, panic-driven exits decline. This environment supports steadier price discovery as Bitcoin approaches key resistance zones. Want more token insights like this?Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariyas Daily Crypto Newsletterhere. Bitcoin NUPL. Source: Glassnode Long-term holder behavior shows that the distribution has slowed meaningfully. Net outflows from these wallets have rolled over from extreme levels seen during earlier corrections. This shift suggests the market is absorbing long-held supply more efficiently. As overhead supply thins, price requires less demand to move higher. Historically, such transitions have supported sustained advances rather than brief spikes. Past cycles show that when the metric crosses into positive territory, accumulation tends to dominate. While Bitcoin has not fully reached that phase yet, current trends indicate progress toward it. Bitcoin LTH Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode BTC Price Has Another Barrier To Breach Bitcoin trades near $92,221 at the time of writing, holding above the $91,298 support level. Price is now targeting the $93,471 resistance. The main obstacle remains the descending uptrend line acting as overhead resistance. This trend line has capped Bitcoins breakouts since mid-November 2025. It sits just below the $95,000 level. If BTC flips $93,471 into support and breaks above this line, a move toward $95,000 becomes likely. Improving sentiment and reduced distribution strengthen this scenario. Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source:TradingView A failure remains possible. If Bitcoin again rejects at trend resistance, price could drift back toward $91,298. Continued weakness would expose $90,000 as the next test. A deeper pullback could push BTC to $89,241. Losing that level would invalidate the bullish thesis and extend losses toward $87,210.
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Gold and Silver Soar, Bitcoin Loses Its Bet Against Inflation
As gold and silver reach new highs, bitcoin slips to two-year lows. Crypto investors seem to be turning away from digital gold to rediscover the virtues of traditional safe havens. En bref Bitcoin falls behind gold in the “debasement trade” war Since the beginning of 2026, bitcoin has posted a marked underperformance against gold. According to analyst Karel Mercx, the leading cryptocurrency has lost its status as a hedge against currency devaluation. The BTC price plunged below 20 ounces of gold, marking a two-year low in financial markets. This trend is explained by growing distrust from investors towards digital assets, considered too volatile in a tense macroeconomic environment. While precious metals break records, bitcoin remains 20% below its 2025 peak. The bitcoin cycle thus seems broken. Long driven by four-year increases, the crypto market struggles to regain momentum. Even seasoned traders like Michaël Van de Poppe believe time is running out before another major correction. An open future for bitcoin according to long-term supporters Some crypto analysts refuse to bury BTC. This is notably the case for fund manager James Lavish. He believes the rise of US public debt and the future Fed monetary policy will play in favor of the crypto queen. The same view comes from Eric Balchunas, an analyst at Bloomberg. He sees the debasement trade as a long-term strategy. According to him, global liquidity continues to increase. This will ultimately benefit bitcoin. In addition, the approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States only further strengthens the institutional presence of this digital asset. In any case, the rivalry between bitcoin and gold reflects a historic turning point in the quest for a safe haven. If the yellow metal shines today, the cryptocurrency retains rebound potential. The duel between tradition and financial innovation is just beginning! Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.
Shiba Inu Profits Crash By 62% Following SHIB Price Crash This Week
Shiba Inu price has weakened sharply over the past week, erasing a large portion of recent gains and pressuring investor confidence. SHIB fell after a brief rally earlier this month, shifting sentiment from accumulation to selling. As losses mounted, many holders moved to lock in remaining value, accelerating the downturn. Shiba Inu Profits Fall On-chain data shows how quickly conditions deteriorated. At the start of the year, nearly 140 trillion SHIB were in profit. That figure reflected optimism following Decembers price spike and renewed retail participation. The momentum did not last. Within a week, the supply in profit dropped by 62%. Currently, only about 57 trillion SHIB remain profitable. This rapid contraction illustrates how quickly gains vanished as the price reversed. Falling profitability often alters behavior. As fewer holders sit in profit, selling pressure tends to rise. Want more token insights like this? Shiba Inu Supply In Profit. Source: Glassnode Macro indicators confirm a shift toward distribution. Exchange net position change data shows consistent green bars, signaling increased inflows to exchanges. This pattern suggests accumulation has ended and selling has taken over. As the SHIB price declined, exchange balances grew. Rising balances often precede further weakness, as tokens move closer to liquidation. This trend indicates holders are preparing to sell rather than wait for recovery. Selling pressure combined with declining profits creates a negative feedback loop. Losses encourage exits, and exits weigh further on price. Without renewed demand, this structure leaves Shiba Inu vulnerable to continued downside. Shiba Inu Exchange Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode SHIB Price Is Holding Above Support Shiba Inu trades near $0.00000857 at the time of writing, holding just above the $0.00000836 support. The meme coin lost 9.6% over the past week. Earlier, SHIB briefly touched $0.00001000 during an intraday spike on December 5. Rising selling pressure threatens the current support. A breakdown below $0.00000836 would also breach the 50-day EMA. Such a move could extend losses toward $0.00000786, deepening the corrective phase. Shiba Inu Price Analysis. Source:TradingView A recovery remains possible if buyers defend support. A bounce from $0.00000836 could lift SHIB toward $0.00000898. Clearing that level would flip the 100-day EMA into support, invalidating the bearish thesis and stabilizing price action.
Polymarket Under Fire In Tennessee Over Gambling Violations
Barely relaunched in the United States, Polymarket is already facing local regulation. Tennessee has just issued an official injunction, accusing it of illegally offering contracts on sporting events. This decision, a first at the state level, could mark a turning point in the legal battle between blockchain platforms and state authorities. At the heart of the case is the legitimacy of predictive markets under federal regulation versus strict local gambling laws. In Brief Tennessee issues an official injunction to Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto.com, demanding the immediate halt of their sports contracts. The regulator accuses these platforms of threatening the public interest by not respecting the state’s legal protections. Sanctions are planned: increasing fines, criminal prosecutions, and legal actions if the order is not respected by January 2026. The case illustrates the growing conflict between federal regulation and state laws in the predictive markets sector. A firm injunction : Tennessee demands the immediate halt of sports contracts While Polymarket had obtained a waiver from the CFTC, on January 9, 2026, the Tennessee Sports Wagering Council (SWC) sent a cease and desist letter to three major predictive market platforms. These documents, made public by specialized lawyer Daniel Wallach, demand the immediate cessation of the offer of contracts on sporting events to Tennessee residents by the platforms Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto.com. The regulator also requires the cancellation of all ongoing contracts involving local users, as well as the refunding of customer deposits before January 31, 2026, under threat of sanctions. In the letter addressed to Polymarket, the SWC executive director, Mary Beth Thomas, states unequivocally: “the contracts on sporting events offered on the Polymarket platform do not comply with the consumer protections of the State of Tennessee (and many others), and represent an immediate and significant threat to the public interest of Tennessee”. The legal framework invoked by Tennessee is based both on gambling regulation and on the state penal code. The SWC clearly details the consequences in case of non-compliance with this injunction : Progressive fines : $10,000 for a first offense, $15,000 for a second, and up to $25,000 for subsequent offenses ; Possible legal action : recourse to injunction measures before state courts ; Criminal prosecutions : promotion of gambling is punishable as a Class B misdemeanor, while aggravated promotion may be a Class E felony ; Violation of consumer protection rules : the SWC reproaches Polymarket for not complying with local requirements such as age restrictions, anti-money laundering controls, and responsible gaming obligations. For the regulator, and based on on-chain data, these platforms operate outside any state legal framework and constitute both an economic and social threat. This offensive marks a sharp hardening of Tennessee’s stance toward predictive markets, especially in the sensitive area of sports. A questioning of legality In response to this injunction, Kalshi announced it has filed a complaint in federal court, contesting what it describes as an “illegal attempt by Tennessee to ban predictive markets in the state”. A spokesperson for the platform said : “as other jurisdictions have recognized, Kalshi is a federally regulated exchange for real-world events, under exclusive federal jurisdiction. It is fundamentally different from bookmakers and casinos regulated by states”. While Polymarket and Crypto.com have not yet officially responded, lawyer Daniel Wallach indicated on X that legal proceedings are imminent, suggesting these platforms might follow the legal path opened by Kalshi. The central issue in this battle is the legitimacy of the federal approval granted by the CFTC. Polymarket, Kalshi, and NADEX are all registered as Designated Contract Markets (DCM) with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, theoretically allowing them to operate nationally. They argue that this federal regulation overrides local laws, a position already tested in several cases before federal courts. Tennessee, in turn, argues that these platforms offer disguised forms of illegal sports betting and do not comply with state rules regarding minor protection, anti-money laundering, and responsible gambling. Beyond the legal dispute, Tennessee’s action reflects growing concern among state regulators about emerging platforms that could circumvent local betting monopolies and reduce associated tax revenues. This is not the first warning. In April 2025, the SWC had already expressed opposition to predictive markets in a letter addressed to the CFTC, and in November, its director warned against the threat these platforms pose to licensed sports betting operators and their contributions to education via local taxation. This injunction adds to an already tense climate for Polymarket, weakened by a security breach exposing user data. Between increasing regulatory pressure and technical vulnerabilities, the platform will need to clarify its model and strengthen compliance if it wants to avoid being excluded from an increasingly demanding American market. Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.
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