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Fade the Fear: Astronomer Says BTC Next Leg to $112K–$160K Starts Now

Fade the Fear: Astronomer Says BTC Next Leg to $112K–$160K Starts Now

DailyCoin2025/12/07 12:06
By: DailyCoin
BTC+1.92%ETH+3.19%

Crypto markets opened the first week of winter in turbulence, with sharp price swings and fragile sentiment dominating trading. Even after a rebound from November’s sell-off and more than $13.5 billion in fresh liquidity from the Federal Reserve, macro risks continued to weigh on confidence, keeping traders on edge.

As volatility intensifies, attention is shifting to how seasoned traders are positioning. DailyCoin analyzed real-time commentary from veteran crypto trader Astronomer, who has spent more than eight years in the market and shares live trade insights to assess his latest outlook on crypto markets.

A Contrarian Bull Case 

Posting to thousands of followers, Astronomer argues that Bitcoin’s macro bull market remains fully intact, despite rising volatility and shifting sentiment.

Sponsored

He forecasts a minimum upside target of $112,000, with a possible extension to $118,000, while insisting that any pullback toward $90,300 or $88,000 should be treated as consolidation rather than a trend reversal.

$BTC macro update 2.0

Second week counting so far of no closes below the low✅ 9 weeks of high timeframe bullish pa (bear pain) remaining at least

Alright part two here. In the depths of despair, gave this signal with a serious tone reflecting the significance of 91%, an… https://t.co/meQhAqQHDV pic.twitter.com/kXLmmTtyf9

— Astronomer December 4, 2025

Trading the Structure

Astronomer’s framework is built on price action, Fibonacci retracements, and institutional-style trading logic, rather than traditional indicators.

He tracks the 0.75 Fibonacci level near $93,000 as resistance, the weekly open around $90,300 as a liquidity magnet, and the 0.5 Fibonacci level near $88,000 as a high-probability support zone. 

$BTC shorts

0.75 rejected ✅and TP 1 is hit

Alright, nice move so far. Not the most impulsive NY we have ever seen. But finally reached first target deep into it.

First target being the liquidity at the wick which is set just before the high is made.

Taking 30% off here at… https://t.co/Dc4Ipli1mJ pic.twitter.com/OaCLTwEyzR

— Astronomer December 4, 2025

From there, he expects a rebound that would reclaim the yearly open and push above $94,000.

Astronomer maintains a bullish medium-term outlook, projecting $112,000 with 99% conviction and $118,000 with a 91% probability, based on historical capitulation patterns. He does not expect any weekly closes below $80,600 for at least nine to thirteen weeks, extending into March 2026.

Long-Term Outlook

On the longer cycle, he argues that the Bitcoin bull market is still in place, with a new all-time high most likely in January 2026 and a possible early test as soon as December. 

He forecasts the four-year cycle peak could arrive between February and March 2026, with price potentially extending toward $160,000 if market euphoria builds. 

$BTC macro update 1.0

The one about the 4 year cycle

Alright, as promised, a macro update.

This is going to be part one of a two-sequence update (second post coming in just a few hours).

With this recent drop, many started calling the top. And with many I mean, even some more… https://t.co/y0O0PEw06K pic.twitter.com/4Kt45vgKzM

— Astronomer December 3, 2025

Ethereum Outlook

Astronomer also highlights that Ethereum remains in a strong bullish high-timeframe structure, and that current bearish market sentiment is largely a trap.

According to him, many traders are again calling for cycle tops after a small sweep and pullback, misinterpreting these moves as signs of market weakness. 

He argues that small sweeps and short-term pullbacks are not valid signals of a macro top in today’s market, which he says is increasingly dominated by large capital and whale-driven order flow.

He believes significant liquidity sits above current ETH price, making continuation more likely than a macro top. His view: ETH is not topping, and the market is setting up for a move toward over $5,000 and a new all-time high.

$ETH , high timeframe

Give it time, but 5k+ is coming.

The same way everyone was bearish last time (see quoted tweet), calling cycle tops, saying the bear market has started and making their videos officially calling it, or, calling bearish retests, saying we will trend up, but… https://t.co/rNJclqfrSo pic.twitter.com/Wz6eU8noke

— Astronomer December 1, 2025

Real-Time Trading 

Astronomer actively trades BTC perps and spot, sharing entries and exits in real time while scaling positions to manage risk.

On December 3, he entered a long between $84,100 and $90,000, targeting $93,000, closed most of the position, and left a 5% runner, booking +2.5R.

On December 4, he flipped short near $93,000, took partial profits at $91,800 and $91,000, held 50% of the position, and reported roughly +2R at the time.

Since then, he has maintained a small long runner while monitoring New York open order flow and spot premiums for re-entry opportunities. He remains sidelined on new longs above $91,000.

He typically deploys around 20% of his account per swing trade, targeting roughly 2% gains per 1% BTC move.

The trader’s message remains clear: pullbacks are opportunities, not failure points, and if broader sentiment turns bearish again, he expects to lean even more aggressively into contrarian long positions.

Stay in the loop with DailyCoin’s top crypto news:
Luna Classic Sees 1,100% Volume Spike Amid LUNC Burns
SpaceX’s $100M BTC Lands On Coinbase: Sale Or Not?

People Also Ask:

What is a Fibonacci retracement?

A technical tool that uses key ratios to identify potential support and resistance levels during price pullbacks.

What is a bull market “macro structure”?

A long-term price trend supported by higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained upward momentum.

What does “capitulation” mean in crypto markets?

A phase where investors sell aggressively in fear, often marking local market bottoms before price stabilizes or reverses.

DailyCoin's Vibe Check: Which way are you leaning towards after reading this article?
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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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